Original Articles

SYSTEMATIC USE OF CAUSALITY ASSESSMENT IN AEFI SURVEILLANCE: A 2013-2016 PILOT STUDY IN PUGLIA

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Published: January 12 2026
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Causality assessment is an algorithm proposed by WHO to identify a causal relationship between vaccines and adverse events following immunization (AEFIs), mostly for serious adverse events. It can be considered consistent, inconsistent, indeterminate or unclassifiable.
This study describes AEFIs reported in Puglia from 2013 to 2016 and analyzes the differences between the causality assessments performed on AEFI case-report information and the causality assessments performed after the examination of clinical documentation.
292 AEFI were reported: 191 (65.4%) serious, 59 (20.2%) serious and 42 (14.4%) undefined. Causality assessment performed on the AEFI case-report information classified 59.2% (n=29/49) of serious AEFIs as consistent while sessment performed affer clinical review only classified 30.6% (n=15/49) of serious AEFI as consistent (X2=65.0; p=0,000). In the first approach, inconsistent serious AEFIs were 18.6% (n=11/49) and then became 45.8% (n=27/49) after examination of clinical documentation. Indeterminate serious AEFIs were 6.8% (114) at first, and then 3.4% (n=2). Unclassifiables did not change.

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SYSTEMATIC USE OF CAUSALITY ASSESSMENT IN AEFI SURVEILLANCE: A 2013-2016 PILOT STUDY IN PUGLIA. (2026). EuroMediterranean Biomedical Journal, 12. https://doi.org/10.3269/1970-5492.2017.12.33